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Essays on Infinite Lifespans
Max More
would be less than what we observed during the post World
War II baby boom. [4]
Low fertility means that population trends in the devel-
oped regions of the world would look even milder if not for
immigration. As the 2000 Revision to the UN Population
Divisions projections says: The more developed regions
are expected to continue being net receivers of international
migrants, with an average gain of about 2 million per year
over the next 50 years. Without migration, the population of
more developed regions as a whole would start declining in
2003 rather than in 2025, and by 2050 it would be 126 mil-
lion less than the 1.18 billion projected under the assumption
of continued migration.
All things considered, countries fortunate enough to develop
and make available radical solutions to aging and death need
not worry about becoming overpopulated. In an ideal sce-
nario, life extension treatments would rapidly plunge in cost,
making them affordable well beyond the richest nations.
We should therefore look beyond the developed nations and
examine global population trends in case a significantly differ-
ent picture emerges.
GLOBAL POPULATION FLATLINING
We have seen that we have no reason to hesitate in prolong-
ing life even if population were to grow faster due to higher
fertility rates. But does the developing world, with or without
cheap, ubiquitous life extension, have much to fear from a
population explosion? Are populations growing out of control
in those regions? The fad for popular books foretelling doom
started in the 1960s, at the tail end of the most rapid increase
in population in human history. Since then, the poorer coun-
tries, well below us in the development cycle, have also been